By M. Backman

ISBN-10: 0230006779

ISBN-13: 9780230006775

The transformation of China, India and lots more and plenty of the remainder of Asia is seismic. by no means has the area replaced rather a lot in any such few minutes. yet swap ability chance and threat – vast chance. are you aware what to anticipate? Is what you are promoting ready? Are you prepared?  The numbers are staggering: Within ten years, money less than administration in China will develop to no less than US$1.5 trillion, a hundred million mainland chinese language travelers will pour out of China every year, Singapore might be an enormous haven for hidden offshore cash, Thai hospitals should be significant companies of healthcare in Asia, the center East and to under-insured americans, and shortages of administration expertise in India and China can be much more acute. Within twenty years, one billion extra humans will dwell in Asia’s towns than do already, China might be an incredible subtle guns exporter, Malaysia may have nearly run out of oil, and divorce and kin breakdown will suggest that the dimensions of the common Asian family can be considerably smaller. Within 25 years, Japan’s inhabitants could have gotten smaller via 20 million, there'll be 250 million extra males than ladies in India and China, part the world’s nuclear reactors could be in Asia, the world’s greatest neighborhood of English audio system should be in China, and Asia-wide water shortages will see titanic hikes in foodstuff prices. Asia destiny surprise is designed for company strategists and state of affairs developers, to alert them to those and different significant shifts and to spot the possibilities and hazards.

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But in Japan, there’s a better then even chance that a house or a flat bought today will be worth less in the future. Can the Japanese property market pick up? Yes, but not in a sustained way. How can it when forecasters are projecting that in 50 years there will be 25 million fewer Japanese, or worse? 9 Prices for commercial land across Japan are now roughly equivalent to the levels they were in the late 1970s, before the asset bubble of the 1980s. Growth can and does come from exports but Japan is not the export dynamo that it once was, thanks largely to the “hollowing out’’ of the Japanese economy in the 1980s, whereby a lot of Japanese manufacturing was shifted offshore to lower cost countries.

But in Japan, there’s a better then even chance that a house or a flat bought today will be worth less in the future. Can the Japanese property market pick up? Yes, but not in a sustained way. How can it when forecasters are projecting that in 50 years there will be 25 million fewer Japanese, or worse? 9 Prices for commercial land across Japan are now roughly equivalent to the levels they were in the late 1970s, before the asset bubble of the 1980s. Growth can and does come from exports but Japan is not the export dynamo that it once was, thanks largely to the “hollowing out’’ of the Japanese economy in the 1980s, whereby a lot of Japanese manufacturing was shifted offshore to lower cost countries.

Furthermore, South Korea’s birth-rate is way below the replacement rate. Its population is forecast to start shrinking from 2027. North Korea does not face these problems. Reunification will give South Korea a demographic rejuvenation. 1 succinctly sets out the problem – and the solution. 1 Population % of population aged 65 or more % aged 0–14 Median age Total fertility rate (average no. 106 Source: CIA World Factbook, 2007. GDP per capita in South Korea (PPP basis) is now around US$24,200. In North Korea it’s US$1,800.

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Asia Future Shock: Business Crisis and Opportunity in the Coming Years by M. Backman


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