By Seth Stein

ISBN-10: 0231151381

ISBN-13: 9780231151382

In the wintry weather of 1811-12, a sequence of huge earthquakes within the New Madrid seismic zone-often incorrectly defined because the largest ever to hit the United States-shook the Midwest. this present day the government ranks the probability within the Midwest as excessive as California's and is pressuring groups to adopt pricey arrangements for catastrophe.

Coinciding with the two-hundredth anniversary of the hot Madrid earthquakes, Disaster Deferred revisits those earthquakes, the legends that experience grown round them, and the predictions of doom that experience of their wake. Seth Stein essentially explains the innovations seismologists use to check Midwestern quakes and estimate their probability. Detailing how restricted medical wisdom, bureaucratic instincts, and the media's love of a very good tale have exaggerated those dangers, Stein frivolously debunks the hype surrounding such predictions and encourages the formula of extra brilliant, more cost-effective coverage. Powered via insider wisdom and an interesting type, Disaster Deferred indicates how new geological principles and information, together with these from the worldwide Positioning method, are portray a truly different-and less frightening-picture of the future.

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Extra info for Disaster Deferred: A New View of Earthquake Hazards in the New Madrid Seismic Zone

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However, the estimated $300 billion spent made Y2K preparations very profitable for the computer industry. S. fueled the growth of India’s profitable outsourcing industry at the expense of American programmers’ jobs. On the plus side, there was a longterm benefit in that claims of impending computer-related disasters are now treated more calmly. Despite swine flu and Y2K, panic usually doesn’t happen. 3 One of many books advising how to survive the predicted Y2K disaster. THINK OR PANIC ? Lyme disease, killer bees, communists, flesh-eating bacteria, fire ants, mad cow disease, etc.

Earthquakes rank at the level of in-line skating or football. S. earthquakes do little harm, and even those felt in populated areas are commonly more of a nuisance than a catastrophe. In most years, no one is killed by an earthquake (fig. 1). About every 40 years, an earthquake kills more than 100 people, and the 1906 San Francisco earthquake is thought to have killed about 3,000 people. This pattern arises because big earthquakes are much less common than small ones, and large numbers of deaths occur only when a rare big earthquake happens where many people live.

Perhaps due to the upcoming election, President Gerald Ford’s administration launched a program to vaccinate the entire population (fig. 2). Forty million Americans were vaccinated at a cost of millions of dollars before the program was suspended due to reactions to the vaccine. 2 President Gerald Ford is vaccinated against swine flu in 1976. (Gerald R. Ford Library) THINK OR PANIC ? whereas only one person died from swine flu. Ford lost the election, so the only immediate winners were the companies that made the vaccine.

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Disaster Deferred: A New View of Earthquake Hazards in the New Madrid Seismic Zone by Seth Stein


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